Uneven Development Patterns in Global Value Chains: An Empirical Inquiry Based on a Conceptualization of GVC As a Specific Form of the Division of Labor
This contribution proposes to overcome the disjuncture between theory and macro, multi-country measurements. It offers some original findings concerning the relation between countries’ GVC participation and economic and social upgrading. The first section addresses the limitations of GVC theorization and measurement and proposes to conceptualize GVCs as a specific form of the division of labor, distinct from both market coordination and firms’ internal activities. One achievement of this definition is to allow for a precise delimitation of the frontiers of GVCs and, accordingly, to propose a proper measure of GVC participation (section 2) and present some stylized facts which do not support the narrative of international institutions concerning GVC participation and upgrading (section 3). We then draw on various strands of literature to delineate six possible country development patterns (Labor-led upgrading, Profit-led upgrading, Rentier’s dominated integration, Immiserizing growth, Marginalization, Non-GVC upgrading) depending on the intensity of GVC participation and changes in productive efficiency, value capture and socioeconomic variables (section 4). Relying on trade data and standard indicators of economic and social upgrading from the World Input-Output Database (WIOD), the OECD and the World Bank, we carry out a principal component analysis for 57 countries between 1995 and 2011 (section 5). Our results challenge the dominant narrative of a clear positive relation between GVC participation and social and economic upgrading. They instead describe a much more nuanced and contrasted relation reflecting the unevenness of power positions in the GVC form of division of labor.